With weeks to go until the 2026 US midterm elections, both the House and the Senate hang in the balance. As Donald Trump barnstorms the country from Texas to Alaska, the polls increasingly seem to be in favour of the Democrats.
In this episode of TrumpWorld, Anushka Asthana sits down with political data analyst Lakshya Jain, co-founder of forecasting platform Split Ticket. Jain’s latest modeling gives Democrats an 89% chance of retaking the House and a 65% probability of capturing the Senate. But could the forecasting be underestimating the Republican vote?