Bolsonaro, Lula about even in polls for Brazil runoff vote
World+Biz
Reuters
25 October, 2026, 09:15 am
Last modified: 25 October, 2026, 09:19 am
Nexus surveyed 2,000 people from 23 October to 24 October, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.
Reuters
25 October, 2026, 09:15 am
Last modified: 25 October, 2026, 09:19 am
A series of polls on Saturday showed Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva running neck and neck ahead of today's (25 October) runoff vote, with the right-wing lawmaker still favoured to win after finishing ahead of the leftist incumbent in the first round.
CNT/MDA poll
- Runoff: Bolsonaro 46.3%, Lula 45.0%
- MDA surveyed 2,032 people from 21 October to 23 October, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.
Datafolha
- Runoff: Bolsonaro 48%, Lula 47%
- Datafolha surveyed 4,050 people from 23 October to 24 October, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
Quaest poll
- Runoff: Bolsonaro 46%, Lula 45%
- Quaest surveyed 3,702 people from 23 October to 24 October, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll
- Runoff: Bolsonaro 49.9%, Lula 48.4%
- AtlasIntel surveyed 4,990 people from 18 October to 23 October, with a margin of error of 1 percentage point.
BTG/Nexus
- Runoff: Bolsonaro 47.0%, Lula 46.0%
- Nexus surveyed 2,000 people from 23 October to 24 October, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.
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