- Gladys Wanga commands a 67% lead in Homa Bay, putting her well ahead of Oyugi Magwanga, who trails at 14%, in the race for the 2027 governor's seat
- James Orengo leads the Siaya contest with 54%, while Professor Tom Ojienda tops the Kisumu race at 46%
- Migori presents the tightest contest, with Mark Nyamita leading Governor Ochilo Ayacko by just two percentage points as 44% of respondents remain undecided
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Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga has emerged as the frontrunner in the county’s 2027 gubernatorial race, according to a new survey by Swiss Poll International Research & Consultancy.
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The survey places Wanga, who also serves as the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) party national chairperson, at 67% in the reported voter preference ratings, giving her a substantial lead over her closest rival, former deputy governor Oyugi Magwanga.
Magwanga trails Wanga at 14%, while other candidates and undecided respondents account for a combined 19%, according to the poll.
Who leads gubernatorial races in Siaya, Kisumu and Migori?
The findings form part of Swiss Poll International’s Luo Nyanza Region County Governors Electability Tracking Report, which examines projected gubernatorial contests in Homa Bay, Siaya, Kisumu and Migori counties as political activity builds towards the 2027 General Election.
In Siaya County, Governor James Orengo leads with 54%, followed by Dr William Oduol at 27%. Other candidates and undecided respondents account for 19%.
Kisumu County presents a more competitive race, with Professor Tom Ojienda leading at 46%, ahead of incumbent Governor Joshua Oron, who is placed at 32%. Other candidates and undecided respondents account for 22%.
Who is likely to be Migori governor in 2027?
The contest appears considerably tighter in Migori County, where MP Mark Nyamita leads with 29%, narrowly ahead of Governor Ochilo Ayacko at 27%. Other candidates and undecided respondents make up 44%, indicating a substantial share of respondents who are either considering other options or remain undecided.
The figures suggest varying levels of competition across the four counties, with Wanga and Orengo holding relatively sizeable leads in their respective races, while the reported standings in Migori point to a much closer contest.
However, the findings represent reported voter preferences at the time of the survey and do not determine the eventual outcome of the 2027 elections.
Source: TUKO.co.ke
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