The Tell
And a 20% chance it deflates before the second half of next year
For investors worried that the runaway artificial-intelligence trade might be about to hit the skids, prediction markets are already starting to reflect that anxiety.
On crypto-based platform Polymarket, traders are quietly increasing the implied probability of a full-blown AI-industry downturn before the end of the year, although expectations for a blowup are well below their earlier highs.