Prediction markets: Canelo Alvarez at 75% against Christian Mbilli (Kalshi); Millonarios FC at 49.5% against Once Caldas (Polymarket), as of October 13, 11:07 p.m. ET. Prices are bets, not polls.
Copa Libertadores semi-finals begin tonight. Fluminense host Palmeiras at the Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro, with the first leg kicking off at 21:30 local time on October 14.
The second semi-final starts on Thursday. Estudiantes welcome Flamengo in La Plata on October 15, also at 21:30, as Brazil’s two biggest clubs chase a place in the final.
Flamengo still lead Brazil’s Série A. They hold 64 points from 30 matches, just one clear of Palmeiras, making the Libertadores ties part of a dramatic title race.
Today’s headlines October 14, 2026
| Event | Status | Angle |
|---|---|---|
| Fluminense vs Palmeiras | Today, 8:30pm ET | First leg of the all-Brazilian Copa Libertadores semi-final at the Maracanã |
| Estudiantes vs Flamengo | Thursday, 8:30pm ET | Flamengo travel to Argentina aiming to take a lead back to Rio |
| Brazil Série A title race | Result | Flamengo lead Palmeiras by a single point after 30 matches |
| Liga MX | Result | Tigres beat Toluca 3-2 as the Mexican season continues |
01
Fluminense and Palmeiras meet in a heavyweight Libertadores semi-final
Preview
The Copa Libertadores semi-final first leg kicks off tonight at the Maracanã, with Fluminense hosting Palmeiras at 21:30 local time. For international fans, that is 8:30pm ET on October 14.
CONMEBOL confirmed the fixture details, with the second leg scheduled for October 21–22. The winner will face either Estudiantes or Flamengo in the final.
Palmeiras, three-time champions, chase a fourth Libertadores, while Fluminense, winners in 2023, want a second. The all-Brazilian tie guarantees one Brazilian club in the final.
In short — Fluminense host Palmeiras in the first leg of their Libertadores semi-final tonight at the Maracanã.
02
Estudiantes and Flamengo clash in Argentina on Thursday night
Preview
Estudiantes welcome Flamengo to La Plata on October 15, with the first leg also set for 21:30 local time. Flamengo are the current Brazilian league leaders.
The Rio club hold 64 points from 30 Série A matches, one ahead of Palmeiras. A good result in Argentina would keep their dream of a domestic and continental double alive.
Estudiantes are four-time champions of the competition. The second leg will be played in Rio de Janeiro on October 21–22.
In short — Flamengo aim for a positive away result against Estudiantes in Thursday’s other semi-final first leg.
03
Flamengo’s one-point Série A lead keeps the pressure on across two fronts
Analysis
Flamengo hold first place in Brazil’s Série A with 64 points from 30 matches, according to the Série A table. Palmeiras sit second on 63 points.
Fluminense have 51 points and Bahia 49. The top two cannot relax.
Palmeiras face a demanding week, with the Libertadores semi-final tonight and a league match at Athletico-PR on October 17. Flamengo must manage the same balancing act.
In short — Flamengo lead Palmeiras by one point in Brazil, making the Libertadores semi-finals even more loaded.
04
Tigres edge Toluca 3-2 in Liga MX as the Apertura continues
Result
Tigres beat Toluca 3-2 in Liga MX action, with the result recorded on October 9 according to ESPN Mexico’s Toluca results page. The match was part of Mexico’s Apertura season.
The fixture was initially listed as a Matchweek 11 game. Yahoo Sports also logged the Tigres-Toluca meeting with the same 3-2 scoreline.
No definitive October 13 result was confirmed for a Toluca-Tigres rematch because available sources conflicted. Liga MX continues through the weekend as clubs chase playoff positions.
In short — Tigres defeated Toluca 3-2 in a verified Liga MX result, though later fixtures were not confirmed.
What Prediction Markets Say
Implied chances from traders’ prices, as of October 13, 11:07 p.m. ET.
Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli
Canelo Alvarez 75% · Christian Mbilli 27%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC) · 213,192 contracts traded
Millonarios FC vs. Once Caldas
Millonarios FC 49.5% · Once Caldas 19.5%
Polymarket · US$10,207 traded
Liga MX Apertura Champion
America 17% · Guadalajara 15% · Cruz Azul 15%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC) · 820,387 contracts traded
Brazil Série A: Winner
Flamengo 63% · Palmeiras 36.5% · Fluminense 0.1%
Polymarket · US$48,916 traded
Copa Libertadores: Winner
Flamengo 44.5% · Palmeiras 27%
Polymarket · US$33,484 traded
Colombia Primera A: Teams relegated (2026)
Jaguares 60.5% · Cúcuta Deportivo 23% · Independiente Medellín 3.1%
Polymarket · US$20,823 traded
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
05
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQ
When is the Fluminense vs Palmeiras Copa Libertadores semi-final?
The first leg is scheduled for October 14 at 21:30 local time at the Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro. That is 8:30pm ET.
CONMEBOL confirmed the second leg will take place on October 21–22 at Palmeiras’ home ground.
Who leads Brazil’s Série A in October 2026?
Flamengo lead the table with 64 points from 30 matches. Palmeiras are second with 63 points.
The title race is extremely tight, and Flamengo also have Libertadores commitments against Estudiantes this week.
What is the other 2026 Copa Libertadores semi-final?
Estudiantes host Flamengo in La Plata, Argentina on October 15 at 21:30 local time. The return leg is set for October 21–22 in Rio de Janeiro.
The winners of the two semi-finals will meet in the Copa Libertadores final, with Brazil guaranteed at least one representative.
In short — The Libertadores semi-finals start tonight with Fluminense-Palmeiras, followed by Estudiantes-Flamengo on Thursday, while Flamengo lead Brazil’s league by one point.
Sources: CONMEBOL Libertadores, CONMEBOL Libertadores semi-final preview, Série A table, ESPN Mexico Toluca results, Yahoo Sports Tigres vs Toluca
Updated: 2026-10-13T23:16:00-03:00 by Oliver Mason, Latin America sports correspondent.
Related coverage: Gold Fund Slips 0.37% as Silver Fund Drops 2.10% | Gold & Silver, Oct 13 · Soy Fund Slips 0.51% as Wheat Fund Falls 0.74% | Grains, Oct 13 · Oil Fund Gains 1.36% as Ecopetrol Rises 1.68% | Oil, Oct 13.