
A cooler, more stable start, with rain beginning Friday and greater instability between Saturday and Monday…
HAVANA TIMES – Northeasterly winds have become established over western Cuba, bringing a slight drop in temperatures, especially at night, with little cloud cover and scant rainfall in recent hours. As the week progresses, conditions will become more humid, with increasing cloud cover and convective activity toward the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms are expected over the capital during the afternoon hours.
Thursday, October 22, will bring partly cloudy skies and mostly stable conditions. On Friday the 23rd, cloud cover will increase, with isolated showers during the morning. The rainiest period of the week is expected between Saturday the 24th and Monday the 26th, with showers and thunderstorms, some of which could be locally heavy. On Tuesday the 27th and Wednesday the 28th, rainfall will gradually decrease, with isolated showers.
Winds will blow predominantly from the northeast at speeds of 15 to 30 kilometers per hour (9 to 19 mph), somewhat stronger between Saturday and Monday, with higher gusts during thunderstorms. Relative humidity will remain moderate to high, between 60% and 90%. High temperatures will range between 27 and 30°C (81 and 86°F), while lows will range between 21 and 24°C (70 and 75°F). Sea surface temperatures will remain at 28°C (82°F).
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) outlook issued at 8:00 a.m. EDT on October 21, there are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic. Only one non-tropical low-pressure area (AL93) off the East Coast of the United States is being monitored, with a medium (40%) chance of acquiring subtropical characteristics. It is far from Cuba and poses no threat to the island. No tropical system development is currently forecast in the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico. Cuba’s Institute of Meteorology (Insmet) continues its routine monitoring during the hurricane season, which remains active through November 30.
Weekly forecast, valid beginning Wednesday, October 21.

