EDMONTON, Canada: Canada’s province of Alberta overwhelmingly rejected a plan to hold a binding independence referendum, media projected Tuesday, in a decisive defeat for separatists that drew support from allies of US President Donald Trump.
Public broadcaster CBC projected a clear win for the federalist side, with official results showing more than 76 percent support for national unity, with roughly at least a third of the votes counted.
Canada was waiting Monday for the results of a vote on whether the oil-rich province of Alberta wants a binding independence referendum, following a divisive campaign that tested national unity.
Prime Minister Mark Carney has argued the vote has been held “at the worst possible time,” citing the need for national stability as US President Donald Trump wages a trade war and levels annexation threats.
Polls indicated less than a quarter of people in the western province want independence, but separatist leader Mitch Sylvestre told AFP on Monday he remained optimistic.
Alberta’s elections authority said all polls had closed by 10:10 pm (0410 GMT Tuesday), but vote counting had been underway for several hours, including tallies of the 1.4 million advance ballots cast. There are 3.1 million eligible voters in the province.
At the federalist election night party in Edmonton, a band warmed up ahead of an anticipated positive result.
“It was amazing to see the enthusiasm and resolve among Canadians,” said Thomas Lukaszuk, who heads Forever Canadian, the group that campaigned across the province for national unity.
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, a conservative, said she voted against independence but called the referendum to settle an issue that has divided the province.
If a majority wants to separate, she has pledged to hold a binding referendum.
If the federalists win, Smith said the secession question should be considered closed.
Foreign influence?
Alberta has the world’s fourth-largest proven oil reserves, and much of the separatist momentum has been driven by anger over oil industry management.
Smith has blamed Carney’s predecessor Justin Trudeau for igniting the separatist fire, accusing him of trying to crush oil production to advance his pro-climate agenda.
Alberta’s independence push has also drawn sustained interest from Trump allies.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called Alberta a “natural partner” for the United States. Elon Musk, the world’s richest person and a top Trump supporter, posted on X this month that Alberta “should separate.”
Separatist leaders have also held meetings at the US State Department and with Republican political operatives.
‘Huge uncertainty’
Carney, who grew up in Alberta, has worked to improve relations between the province and Ottawa since taking office last year.
He has partnered with Smith on advancing a new pipeline to export more Alberta bitumen overseas, a project considered a nonstarter during Trudeau’s tenure.
But he has also warned Albertans that even a nonbinding vote on independence would be a “dangerous bluff,” drawing on his experience during Brexit, when he was the Bank of England’s governor.
He said the “huge uncertainty” that followed the Brexit vote hurt the British economy, cautioning Alberta over unintended economic consequences.