Morena is set to finish in third place if elections for the Zacatecas governorship were held today, according to the latest poll conducted by Enkoll for El Universal. The survey places Verónica Díaz Robles, a close associate of the Monreal family, behind candidates from Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) and a potential alliance between the National Action Party (PAN) and the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI).
In the primary polling scenario, Jorge Álvarez Máynez leads the preferences with 30% of the voting intention, followed by Adolfo Bonilla at 25%, while the official representative of the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition holds just 22%.
In a secondary scenario—which excludes the MC leader and features different party combinations—the officialist candidate again occupies third place, dropping to 18%. She trails behind the PRI candidate, who reaches 22%, and Geovanna Bañuelos, who sits at 20%.
These results come on the heels of the “guinda” coalition’s announcement on September 15 designating Díaz Robles as Coordinator of the Committees for the Defense of Transformation and Sovereignty in Zacatecas. This appointment positions her as a prominent candidate to succeed Governor David Monreal in the upcoming elections.
Public Sentiment Lean Toward Political Transition
The Enkoll survey also reveals a significant trend toward political turnover: 56% of Zacatecas residents prefer a political force other than Morena to govern the state. In contrast, only 31% favor the current party’s continuity, while 13% remained undecided.
This sentiment aligns with the low approval ratings of Governor David Monreal. His administration received a negative evaluation from 58% of those surveyed, while only 32% expressed support for his performance.
However, when surveyed on general party preferences without naming specific candidates, the movement founded by Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) still leads with 22%. It is followed by the PRI at 17%, MC at 15%, and the PAN at 10%, with the PT and PVEM each reaching 4%.
Despite maintaining a lead in general party preference, the ruling party faces the highest level of electoral rejection. Approximately 29% of participants stated they would never vote for Morena for the governorship. For comparison, the PRI registered a 26% rejection rate, while MC saw a negligible 1% rejection.