ND Maintains Lead With 30.3% in Opinion Poll Survey

Main opposition PASOK remains in third place but has narrowed the gap with Alexis Tsipras’ new party. The survey also records, for the first time, a 3.5% estimated vote share for the Alliance of Greeks party, which has received the declared backing of Ilias Kasidiaris, who was convicted in connection with the criminal organization Golden Dawn.

The Opinion Poll survey was conducted from Oct. 7 to 12, amid an energy crisis and persistent high prices. It also reflects the impact of US Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s visit to Greece, according to the pollsters.

The survey’s analysts said the findings also reflected the efforts of political parties during an informal, prolonged and intense pre-election period, marked by polarization and increasingly confrontational political debate.

Voting intention

In the estimated vote, ND stands at 30.3%, down 0.7 percentage points from September, while ELAS follows with 15.9%, leaving a 14.4-point gap between the two parties.

PASOK ranks third with 12.3%, narrowing its distance from ELAS to 3.6 points, compared with 3.8 points in September.

The Communist Party (KKE) follows with 7.2%, up from 6.8%, while the Greek Solution party stands at 6.8%, down from 7.3%. Course of Freedom records 5.1%, compared with 5.4% in September, while ELPIDA stands at 4.5%, down from 4.8%.

Voice of Reason records 3.5%, up from 3.3%, while the newly recorded Alliance of Greeks also stands at 3.5%. The party has been publicly endorsed by former MP Kasidiaris, who was convicted for his role in the Golden Dawn criminal organization.

MeRA25 stands at 2.7%, SYRIZA at 1.7% and NIKI at 1.1%. The category of other parties accounts for 5.6%. Spartans, Democrats and New Left are not listed separately because their shares fall below 1%, with their support incorporated into the other parties’ category.

Voting intention among valid ballots

In voting intention among valid ballots, ND stands at 25.5%, followed by ELAS at 13.3% and PASOK at 10.4%.

KKE records 6.1%, Greek Solution 5.8%, Course of Freedom 4.3%, ELPIDA 3.8%, Voice of Reason 2.9% and Alliance of Greeks 2.9%. MeRA25 stands at 2.2%, SYRIZA at 1.5% and NIKI at 0.9%. Other parties account for 4.7%, while undecided voters make up 15.7%.

Nine-party parliament projected

Based on the estimated vote shares, the survey projects a nine-party parliament, with seats distributed as follows: ND, 122; ELAS, 48; PASOK, 37; KKE, 21; Greek Solution, 20; Course of Freedom, 16; ELPIDA for Democracy, 14; Voice of Reason, 11; and Alliance of Greeks, 11.

Mitsotakis leads on preferred prime minister

Asked who would be the most suitable prime minister, 27.4% of respondents chose Kyriakos Mitsotakis, while 26.5% said none of the candidates. Tsipras received 13.1% and PASOK leader Nikos Androulakis 7.1%.