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San Francisco’s dream start to the season continues on “Monday Night Football,” with the 49ers favored by a touchdown at home against the Commanders, who come off a Week 5 divisional tie with the Giants.
Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers have excelled on both sides of the ball, ranking among the top five in offensive and defensive DVOA.
Their high-powered offense averages 30.8 points per game, and Brock Purdy has posted a 13-to-2 TD-to-INT ratio while in the pocket.
Dan Quinn and Jayden Daniels are seeking redemption after an inexplicable overtime blunder.
Daniels returned from an elbow injury and broke out with two rushing touchdowns, but miscommunication cost the Commanders dearly on their final drive.
BetMGM Sportsbook set the over/under for “MNF” at 52.5 total points.
Commanders vs. 49ers prediction, best bet
Quinn’s seat is hotter than San Francisco in early September, and this game could be a good litmus test for his job.
Thankfully, the Commanders offense operates at a higher level with Daniels directing the action, and the dual-threat has had big games under the bright lights of “MNF.”
He’s thrown for 465 yards, five scores, and just one pick for a 131.7 QB rating in two Monday appearances. However, a formidable San Francisco secondary that ranks second overall in pass DVOA awaits.
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The Niners are also back in the championship driver’s seat, pulling away from their NFC West rival Rams and emerging as the odds-on Super Bowl favorite heading into this matchup.
Brock Purdy’s strong start has also sent him climbing the NFL MVP odds board.
One of Purdy’s primary targets is George Kittle, who is coming off a season-high 92% snap count against Seattle. The Commanders have struggled to contain tight ends, allowing seven touchdowns, including multiple scores against the position in three games this season.
Kittle has 21 receptions for 268 yards and is tied for the tight-end lead with four touchdowns.
I’ll happily grab Kittle to hit some paydirt Monday night against a Commanders defense that’s been susceptible to covering the middle of the field.
The Play: George Kittle to score a touchdown (-105, BetMGM)
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Mike Turay is a sports journalist and editor who closely follows the NBA, NFL, college sports and UFC. He has demonstrated expertise in both NBA and NFL player prop bets for nearly three years. Mike is also highly knowledgeable about the sportsbook offer landscape, frequently trying and reviewing the latest apps and sites.