The loss at home against TCU hurt Baylor's chances at a run at the Big 12 Championship, being the first blemish on the Bears' record in the conference. A defeat at the hands of the Jayhawks on the road against Kansas however would serve as every right to sound the alarm bell on the season. No disrespect meant to Kansas, but Baylor can't afford to have two losses in a row with this many games left in the season.
At 4-2 (2-1 in the Big 12) Baylor isn't entirely eliminated from contention, but a 4-3 Bears team with BYU, Texas Tech, and Houston still remaining (played the final weeks of the regular season, respectively) on the schedule, another sub .500 season for Coach Aranda and Baylor is still a possibility.
Baylor Wins If: O-Line Generates Push
The offense may run through quarterback DJ Lagway, but without an offensive line capable to providing run support, nobody on Baylor is going to run for very many yards. Whether it's been injuries and penalties throughout the early part of the season, or whatever it is that's causing the Bears' O-line to be unable to push against the opposing defenses this season, the O-line's performance in this game is going to be vital to either a Baylor win or loss.
Baylor Can't Afford To: Become One-Dimensional
Against TCU, Baylor ran the ball 34 times for a net of 54 yards. Their worst performance of the season by far, the Bears absolutely can not afford to be unable to run the ball against a Kansas team that just allowed 350+ rushing yards to KSU. Baylor hasn't had the greatest of success running the ball this season, but is averaging 3.83 yards per carry on a team total of 901 yards on 235 carries.
Baylor Loses If: The Turnover Bug Strikes Again
Fumbles and interceptions absolutely need to be avoided if the Bears hope to win. It goes without saying, but granting the opposing team free possessions is a recipe for disaster. In the game against TCU, Baylor was very fortunate to have a Lagway fumble go out of bounds and McGowan able to cover his own muffed punt, or the 17-6 outcome could have possible been even uglier than it ended up being.
Baylor Head Coach Dave Aranda: Can Not Afford Loss to Kansas
A loss to rival TCU wasn't ideal, but the Horned Frogs came into Blackout on the Brazos with the nation's 8th best defense that was only allowing 13.4 points per game. Kansas' 85th ranked defense (allowing 28.5 points per game) will be hosting a Bears team hungry to get back on a winning streak. Coach Aranda simply can not afford a loss to the Jayhawks which would be Baylor's second loss in as many games in which they were initially favored to win. It would also further dishearten a fan-base that showed a lot of excitement in this Bears team only a week ago.
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