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Post sports gambling editor/producer and digital sports editor Matt Ehalt is back for his third season in the NFL Bettor’s Guide.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Aaron Rodgers is turning back the clock.
Sure, this isn’t the Packers-years MVP version of the future Hall of Famer, but the 42-year-old has tallied three passing touchdowns in each of the last three games.
He looks to have finally found his groove after an awful start that saw him lead the Steelers to 16 offensive points across the first two games, while throwing just one touchdown pass to one interception.
It hasn’t always been pretty — ask Mike McCarthy about their Week 4 screaming match — but Pittsburgh has averaged 27.3 points per game over its last three contests while Rodgers has surged.
That the offense and Rodgers are finding their footing makes Pittsburgh an appealing road favorite Sunday in Tampa against a Buccaneers team that finally got in the win column last Thursday.
Tampa Bay is stout against the run, allowing the second-fewest yards per game, while the NFC South squad in the bottom half in passing yards surrendered.
With Rodgers developing an exciting rapport with rookie Germie Bernard, dual-threat running back Jaylen Warren showing his passing-game abilities with an 80-yard touchdown reception last week and solid veterans like DK MetCalf, there are reasons to believe Rodgers will find success in the air in Week 6.
The Steelers’ offense is complemented by a defense that is well-equipped to exploit Tampa Bay’s porous offensive line.
Star pass rusher T.J. Watt should have a strong day against a Buccaneers offensive line that entered Week 6 tied for the second-most sacks allowed.
Buccaneers backup quarterback Jalon Daniels also is unlikely to light up the scoreboard.
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While he found a way to beat the Cowboys in Week 5 — with help from Jake Ferguson — he’s thrown for 148 and 189 passing yards, respectively, across his first two starts.
The Steelers should find a way to win this game by a field goal or more on the road.
2026 record: 2-3
Last week: Vikings (W)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Matt Ehalt has been picking against the spread since his childhood days when he entered his father’s newspaper pool and even took the top prize on more than one occasion. He specializes in NFL wagers and is quite successful with NCAA brackets.