Nate Silver Forecast Shifts Towards Republicans After Fake Polls Removed

Nate Silver's midterms election forecast shifted slightly towards Republicans after he removed a series of fake polls that he said had been roughly one point more favorable to Democrats than the broader consensus.

The famed polling analyst said the biggest change came in Michigan, where Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed's margin fell from 3.6 points to three points. Silver noted that this movement also reflected the addition of a Marist poll to the model that showed El-Sayed two points ahead.

"Overall, our forecast is little changed, though that's partly because some strong generic ballot polls entered this AM for Democrats," Silver posted to X Wednesday morning.

The fake polls in question came from Wedgewood Polling, a group that revealed on Tuesday that it had fabricated most of its polls. Newsweek has corrected and retracted stories that included data from Wedgewood Polls.

This is a breaking news story and will be updated.