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Eli Drinkwitz and his squad make their way to Mississippi, as the No. 13 Missouri Tigers visit the No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels on Saturday afternoon. It is time to continue the NCAA Football odds series with a Missouri-Ole Miss prediction and pick.
Missouri enters the game sitting at 5-1. They opened the season against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. It was a dominant victory for the Tigers, cruising to a 54-14 win in the season opener. They went on to take down Kansas 38-21 on the road and beat Troy 27-17 at home in Week 3 before falling to Mississippi State by a 31-24 score. They have since earned big wins over then-No. 8 Florida in a 45-17 blowout and beat down Texas A&M by a 27-6 score.
Meanwhile, Ole Miss is 4-1 at the moment. They opened the season with a 41-38 win over the then-No. 24 Louisville Cardinals. After a 41-9 blowout win over Charlotte and getting a 32-24 revenge win over then-No. 7 LSU, they took a step back after falling 52-28 to the then-No. 21 Florida Gators. They have since bounced back with a 52-17 blowout win over the Vanderbilt Commodores on the road.
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Missouri and Ole Miss have played against each other several times in football. The Tigers boast seven wins over the Rebels’ one victory. The Tigers took the win back in October 2019, winning the game 38-27. Ole Miss’ last win in the all-time series dates back to 1974.
Missouri vs. Ole Miss Odds
Missouri: +4 (-115)
Ole Miss: -4 (-105)
Over: 59 (-105)
Under: 59 (-115)
Missouri vs. Ole Miss Key Injuries
Missouri- QB Austin Simmons (Questionable), WR Cayden Lee (Probable), DL Darris Smith (Questionable), OG Cayden Green (Out), WR Jabari Brady (Out), TE Gavin Hoffman (Out), RB Ahmad Hardy (Out)
Ole Miss- WR Izaiah Hartrup (Questionable)
Missouri vs. Ole Miss Betting Trends
- Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Rebels last 5 games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
- Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Keys to Missouri vs. Ole Miss football matchup
Austin Simmons, who passed for 1,026 yards and six touchdowns at Ole Miss in a reserve role, has thrived at Missouri as the starter. The quarterback is 107 of 165 passing for 1,434 yards with 14 touchdowns and one interception. Cayden Lee leads the receiving corps in convincing fashion, having made 42 receptions for 616 yards and five touchdowns halfway through the season. Missouri has thrived in a patient style of ball-control offense, rushing for 181.7 yards per game. With just three turnovers and an average of 35.8 points per game, the Tigers are among the nation’s best in both categories. Jamal Roberts has emerged as a breakout performer in the SEC with a league-leading 828 yards rushing and eight touchdowns, highlighted by consecutive 200-plus yard performances in wins over Florida and Texas A&M.
Chris Graves stands out as a star defender in the Tigers secondary, recording seven tackles and six pass breakups. Nicholas Rodriguez has been remarkable as a tackler, leading the squad with 63 tackles and 1.5 sacks. Santana Banner comes next with 51 tackles and three pass deflections, while Robert Woodyard Jr. has recorded 43 tackles, one interception, one forced fumble, and one fumble recovery. Daedaen Hopins excels as a pass rusher, boasting 17 tackles and seven sacks and two forced fumbles.
The Rebels possess one of the best offenses in the country. They deploy a faster tempo and averages 433.8 yards of total offense per game. Trinidad Chambliss has passed for 1,435 yards and rushed for 113 while accounting for 16 touchdowns. Deuce Alexander, with 32 receptions for 503 yards and five touchdowns, is the big-play performer from a receiving corps that features eight players with at least seven catches each. Kewan Lacy returned last week at Vanderbilt after being sidelined for two weeks with a shoulder injury. He has been the leading rusher for two seasons after starting his career at Missouri. He has rushed for five touchdowns and 230 yards while Makhi Frazier and JT Lindsey have combined for 239 yards rushing on 55 carries.
Ole Miss boasts several playmakers on the defensive side of the ball. Luke Ferrelli leads the group with 34 tackles, one sack and one pass deflection. Keaton Thomas comes next with 32 tackles, Blake Purchase stands out with pass-rushing talent as he recorded 21 tackles and 3.5 sacks so far. Meanwhile, Jaylon Braxton and Antonio Kite have interceptions to their names.
Missouri vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Pick
This matchup between Missouri and Ole Miss stands out as an intriguing matchup. Missouri has incredible form after torching Florida and Texas A&M in their last two contests. The Rebels possess great offensive talent, but they will need to find ways to make big plays on defense, or it will be a tough day for them to come out with a win. Ole Miss gets the win in this one and covers, while the over also hits.
Final Missouri vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Pick: Ole Miss -4 (-105) and over 59 (-105)
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