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The Guardians have a 2-1 edge in the ALCS after a 3-2 win over the Rays in Game 3 on Thursday.
Friday’s pivotal Game 4 comes loaded with pressure for the Rays, as the Guardians are now -190 favorites to win the series.
Oddsmakers make the Rays short moneyline favorites for this road game at -110 odds, with a low Over/Under at 6.5 runs.
Rays vs. Guardians Game 4 prediction
The Rays haven’t scored more than three runs in any game of this series as their offense appears to be going silent.
In Game 3, Junior Caminero really struggled for the first time in the postseason.
Entering Thursday, Caminero had reached base in every game and had a hit in his last four.
The Guardians had his number Thursday as he went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts.
Only one of his at-bats was even competitive — he battled in his first time up at the plate but struck out on three pitches in his next two at-bats, then struck out on four pitches in the top of the ninth inning.
A performance that bad is unlikely to happen in back-to-back games, especially with the Rays looking to even the series.
The betting market has his total bases prop for Game 4 all over the place, with some books as low as +115 and others up to +140.
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This is a great opportunity to buy low on a bounce-back performance from the Rays’ top player, who has been clutch all season and was a reliable bat before Game 3’s dud.
I’ll back Caminero to put Thursday’s awful performance behind him and tally two total bases for Game 4.
The Play: Junior Caminero 2+ total bases (+140, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017. He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports. He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props.