Idle this week, No. 23 Boise State is sitting pretty at the halfway point of the 2026 college football season.
The Broncos (5-1, 2-0 Pac-12) have ripped off five straight wins following a seven-point Week 1 road loss to Oregon and are the favorite to represent the Group of Six in the College Football Playoff.
In the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, Boise State remains a +140 favorite to make the CFP for the second time since 2024. The Broncos were also +140 last week before securing a 38-31 road victory over rival Fresno State (4-2, 1-1).
Boise State has the 10th-best odds nationally to make the CFP, coming in behind Notre Dame (-4000), Georgia (-3000), Miami (-1800), Indiana (-800), Ohio State (-750), Alabama (-700), Texas (-450), Utah (+105) and Texas Tech (+120).
Other Group of Six teams to watch include Sun Belt leader James Madison (+400 to make the CFP), Mountain West favorite New Mexico (+425) and American co-leaders UTSA (+1100) and Memphis (+1600). Boise State defeated the Tigers at home in Week 2, 38-20.
North Dakota State dropped from +425 to +1200 after suffering a 13-7 loss to UNLV last week. The Bison also have to play at New Mexico next week.
Pac-12 co-leader Oregon State is +3000 to make the CFP. The Broncos will host the Beavers (4-2, 2-0) on Nov. 14.
The latest round of bowl projections all have Boise State reaching the CFP with Oregon State representing the Pac-12 in the Poinsettia Bowl.
Here is a collection of bowl projections from national writers for Pac-12 teams entering Week 7 of the 2026 college football season.
Kyle Bonagura, ESPN
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Texas
Hawaii Bowl: North Dakota State vs. Fresno State
Poinsettia Bowl: Washington vs. Oregon State
Mark Schlabach, ESPN
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Indiana
Frisco Bowl: USF vs. San Diego State
Hawaii Bowl: North Dakota State vs. Fresno State
New Mexico Bowl: UNLV vs. Texas State
Poinsettia Bowl: Arizona State vs. Oregon State
Brett McMurphy, On3
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Notre Dame
Hawaii Bowl: Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Poinsettia Bowl: Oregon State vs. Arizona State
Bryan Fischer, Sports Illustrated
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Alabama
First Responder Bowl: Colorado State vs. Louisiana
Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs. UNLV
New Mexico Bowl: Tulsa vs. Texas State
Poinsettia Bowl: Oregon State vs. Arizona State
Brad Crawford, CBS Sports
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Notre Dame
Poinsettia Bowl: Oregon State vs. Arizona State
Puerto Rico Bowl: Fresno State vs. Air Force
Steven Lassan, Athlon Sports
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Texas
Hawaii Bowl: UNLV vs. Fresno State
Poinsettia Bowl: Oregon State vs. Washington
Oliver Hodgkinson, PFSN College
College Football Playoff: Boise State at Alabama
Poinsettia Bowl: Oregon State vs. Arizona State
Puerto Rico Bowl: Fresno State vs. Air Force
• Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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